Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.238459 0.270156 0.303967 0.342660 0.385654 0.431899 0.485345
2025-09-21 0.194570 0.236794 0.284662 0.342741 0.411081 0.488712 0.583330
2025-09-28 0.163361 0.211654 0.269372 0.342993 0.433910 0.541981 0.679589
2025-10-05 0.142216 0.194874 0.260830 0.348734 0.461934 0.601831 0.786696
2025-10-12 0.127125 0.183259 0.256599 0.358238 0.494046 0.667673 0.904587
2025-10-19 0.112637 0.170305 0.248678 0.361290 0.516933 0.722148 1.010376
2025-10-26 0.102345 0.161676 0.245265 0.369368 0.546180 0.785791 1.131042
2025-11-02 0.094318 0.155203 0.243887 0.379573 0.578309 0.854402 1.261469
2025-11-09 0.084278 0.144448 0.235043 0.377821 0.592678 0.898457 1.359413
2025-11-16 0.075881 0.135226 0.227437 0.376884 0.607554 0.943298 1.459946
2025-11-23 0.068445 0.126669 0.219926 0.375170 0.620638 0.985588 1.558143
2025-11-30 0.063945 0.122476 0.218839 0.383161 0.648642 1.050867 1.692786
2025-12-07 0.058082 0.115472 0.212797 0.383103 0.664643 1.099815 1.806966
2025-12-14 0.052931 0.109150 0.207289 0.383374 0.680980 1.149890 1.925100
2025-12-21 0.048367 0.103378 0.202162 0.383755 0.697285 1.200448 2.046066
2025-12-28 0.045187 0.099867 0.200664 0.390155 0.723784 1.268264 2.197100
2026-01-04 0.042878 0.097793 0.201539 0.400684 0.757724 1.349495 2.372962
2026-01-11 0.039836 0.093885 0.198633 0.404073 0.779319 1.411184 2.519385
2026-01-18 0.037745 0.091710 0.198789 0.413004 0.810998 1.490903 2.698607
2026-01-25 0.036081 0.090257 0.200191 0.424274 0.847335 1.579901 2.896698
2026-02-01 0.033140 0.085655 0.194925 0.422344 0.859401 1.627580 3.026544
2026-02-08 0.030563 0.081570 0.190330 0.421312 0.872898 1.678088 3.162931
2026-02-15 0.028143 0.077555 0.185512 0.419421 0.884524 1.725567 3.295628